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Smoke tests with real Meta ads

Know your CAC before you invest.

We run real ads to a real-looking page for a product that doesn't exist yet, then measure who clicks, who checks out and who tries to pay. Live in under 7 days.

A funnel of grey particles narrowing to a few lime particles that land in a small glowing pile.

How a smoke test works

Four screens. One honest signal.

  1. Example Meta feed ad for a fictional bookkeeping app called Tally.

    01

    The ad in the feed

    Real Meta ads with real creatives: three angles, two creatives each, often two price points. Strangers decide in a scroll whether your idea is worth a tap.

  2. Example landing page for Tally at €29 a month with a Buy now button.

    02

    The landing page

    A real-looking product page with one promise, one price and a Buy now button. The click shows who wants it at that price.

  3. Example checkout for Tally asking only for name, email and country, with a Pay button.

    03

    The checkout, no card fields

    Name, email, country and a Pay button. No card fields, ever. The Pay click is the purchase-intent signal and the basis of the CAC proxy.

  4. Example reveal page for Tally saying it isn't live yet and nothing was charged, with an unticked opt-in box.

    04

    The honest reveal

    The product isn't live yet, nothing was charged, no card data was taken. An unticked opt-in lets real buyers ask to hear about the launch.

The deliverable

An investor-grade CAC report.

Every number from the open market, measured by us, with a verdict against thresholds you agree before the test starts.

  • CPM, CTR, CPC and landing CVR
  • Cost per lead, per checkout started, per purchase intent
  • CAC proxy as a range, required LTV for 3:1
  • Winning angle and price
  • Go / iterate / kill verdict

CAC report · Sample test · 7 days

Illustrative numbers

GO

Cost per purchase intent · CAC proxy

€24–€33

Point estimate €27.78 from 36 Pay clicks on €1,000 spend

Required LTV for 3:1

€83.34

Winning angle and price

Angle 2 · €19

CPM
€12.50
CTR
1.5%
CPC
€0.83
Landing CVR
12.0%
Cost per lead
€71.43
Per checkout started
€8.33

Purchase intent by variant · cost per Pay click

  • Angle 1 · €19€23.57
  • Angle 1 · €29€42.00
  • Angle 2 · €19€18.44
  • Angle 2 · €29€20.88
  • Angle 3 · €19€33.40
  • Angle 3 · €29€55.67
GO

CAC proxy under the €35 ceiling agreed before the test.

Why test before money

A week of data beats a year of hope.

  1. Investing without a test is trusting the pitch

    A test gives you fresh CAC and demand data from the open market, measured by us, not by the seller or founder.

  2. Building without a test costs months

    A test answers “will strangers pay at this price, and what does it cost to get them?” in a week, for a fraction of a build.

  3. Kill bad ideas cheaply, back good ones harder

    A failed test costs about €2,500 and saves the full investment. A passed test hands you the angle, price and channel to scale.

  4. A better negotiating position

    Real CAC data changes the valuation conversation with a seller or with co-investors.

What it costs to find out

CAC Runner test~€2,500 · 7 daysBuild or invest blind€50k+ · months

Honest by design

A test that won't burn the brand.

  • No card fields, ever. Nothing is charged.
  • A plain reveal: not live yet, nothing charged, no card data taken.
  • Launch-notice opt-in is unticked by default and logged with consent wording.
  • Meta Pixel only after cookie consent. No imitation of real brands or payment providers.
The reveal screen: the product isn't live yet, nothing was charged, with an unticked launch-notice box.

Offer

One test. One clear answer.

service fee + €1,000 minimum ad spend

  • 3 angles × 2 creatives on Meta
  • Landing page per angle and price
  • No-card checkout, Pay click as signal
  • Honest reveal with opt-in
  • Consented tracking, server-side dedup
  • CAC report with a verdict

Live in under 7 days.

Equity track

Pay ad spend only.

For selected ventures, we waive the service fee in exchange for a share. By application only.

Apply for equity track